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What do I know, what am I assuming, and what can I test?

Before adding detail, divide the decision into three columns.

  • Know: Current take-home pay, today's debt balance, the quoted rent.
  • Assume: Likely freelance income, future travel costs, an estimated return.
  • Test: Ask payroll, request the insurance quote, try the commute, build a cautious scenario.

This stops assumptions from quietly becoming facts. It also turns uncertainty into a small research plan.

What to try next: Pick the one assumption that could reverse the decision. Find the smallest safe way to test it.